We’d like to think that we were clairvoyant, and able to see the future before it happens. 

After all, who doesn’t love certainty?

But at the end of the day, all we can do is maximize the amount of information and make better predictions. Certainty is an illusion, and the best we can do is start to think in probabilities rather than absolutes.

Given that, when making a decision, you always want to make sure that your choice is less about being right, and more about what’s most likely to get you the outcome you desire.